Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.478665 0.560925 0.650961 0.756543 0.876666 1.008776 1.164754
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.358110 0.469406 0.603004 0.773916 0.985347 1.236823 1.556910
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.275561 0.398317 0.557847 0.777394 1.068265 1.436619 1.933947
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.209500 0.331247 0.501241 0.750813 1.101725 1.570480 2.235387
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.176987 0.302308 0.488305 0.776513 1.202008 1.795423 2.670905
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.150573 0.276324 0.473720 0.794883 1.290077 2.007348 3.102327
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.135861 0.265612 0.479501 0.842413 1.423001 2.291123 3.654554
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.114495 0.239200 0.455482 0.838572 1.474744 2.456737 4.043085
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.095910 0.213938 0.429053 0.826196 1.509561 2.596524 4.399302
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.081334 0.193276 0.407209 0.817918 1.548456 2.743116 4.772943
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072295 0.181910 0.400477 0.834852 1.630242 2.962632 5.274076
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063920 0.170243 0.391292 0.845652 1.701264 3.167920 5.763142
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055706 0.157544 0.378733 0.849505 1.761833 3.362763 6.252801
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049406 0.148048 0.371423 0.862747 1.840804 3.594780 6.820055
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043076 0.137058 0.359191 0.864385 1.897588 3.791133 7.337443
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035586 0.121189 0.333467 0.834462 1.889916 3.870538 7.654269
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032671 0.117218 0.334662 0.862331 1.998808 4.169125 8.376219
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029640 0.112187 0.332501 0.882336 2.093001 4.445558 9.072268
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028484 0.112602 0.343921 0.934309 2.257278 4.863645 10.048118
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024881 0.104346 0.331836 0.930092 2.302235 5.054911 10.612741
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021399 0.095494 0.316674 0.916546 2.325491 5.204495 11.105742
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018564 0.088044 0.304045 0.907486 2.357298 5.371924 11.639704
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016960 0.084679 0.302468 0.926014 2.452298 5.671512 12.442651